Free Agent at the End of the Season: Adrian Beltre
However, in the five years since the Mariners signed Beltre, one thing has become clear: Beltre is not a franchise player. During his tenure with the Mariners, Beltre never hit more than 26 home runs, drove in 100 runs, or hit anywhere close to .300.
With that said, Beltre can still be a very productive player on a good team. He does certain things pretty well and even with his diminished numbers, he can still handle the bat pretty well. What kind of deal can Beltre expect on the open market? Let's dive in:
The Case for Beltre
-defense
According to fangraphs, Beltre is one of the best defensive third basemen in baseball. His UZR/150 this season is a impressive 12.6, which is actually down from his UZR/150 of 15.7 last season! Those are some incredible numbers for a third baseman. And by the way, Beltre is a two time gold glove award winner....not too shabby.
-power?
While Beltre may never come close to hitting 40+ home runs again, there is no denying that he's still got some power in his bat. In each of the three previous seasons before this one, Beltre hit at least 25 home runs, which is some nice production at the hot corner.
However, this season Beltre has only hit 5 home runs in 338 at bats. Did the injuries eliminate a majority of Beltre's power? One has to wonder...
-age
Even though it feels like Beltre has been around forever, he is only 30 years old. Beltre still should have a number of productive seasons left.
The Case against Beltre
-patience
What holds Beltre back from becoming a dangerous power hitter is his lack of discipline at the plate. Beltre has never had an OBP higher than .330 or walked more than 50 times in any of the past five seasons. At this point in his career, Beltre is what he is...for better or for worse.
-health?
Even though Beltre has always been healthy, we have to ask the health question simply because Beltre has missed lots of time this season. While we understand that the testicle injury was a freak accident, it'd be nice to see how productive Beltre is post shoulder surgery.
Competition
The group of free agent third basemen (outside of Chone Figgins) can be aptly described as injury prone. Just take a look at this group: Troy Glaus, Hank Blalock (first baseman at this stage in his career), Joe Crede, and Troy Glaus. So even with all his injuries in 2009, you can make a very strong case that Beltre is the 2nd best third baseman on the market.
Elias Ranking: Type B
Nothing to see here, folks. There's little/no chance that the Mariners would offer Beltre arbitration and risk owing Beltre between $12-$15 million in 2010.
(rankings courtesy of MLBTR)
Prediction
??????
Your guess is as good as mine on this one. Beltre missed a good portion of the 2009 season because of shoulder surgery and the now famous testicle injury (wear a cup!). If Beltre can come back healthy and productive in September, then I'm sure teams would be more likely to give him a multi year deal.
Thoughts?
(Follow Jorge Says No! on Twitter!)
Random Afternoon Video: Stay Away from Cocaine! Mike Schmidt Said So.
Very informative yet creepy message from Phillies great Mike Schmidt.
The Bob White Object
Bob White Object
If the Twins Miss the Playoffs....Should Bill Smith be Fired?
YES (fire Smith!)
-As much as I love Joe Nathan, giving a closer a 4 year/$47 million dollar extension is something that will handicap the Twins payroll flexibility in future years.
-Extensions given out to Justin Morneau, Jason Kubel and Scott Baker are looking like very efficient, team friendly deals at the moment.
Thoughts?
Pat Burrell and the Scott Kazmir Trade
Freaky Flicks: Coming Soon To A Theater Near You!
Halloween II - Rated R - 1 hour 41 minutes - Releases August 28th, 2009
Personally I will not pay to see this film. Someone will have to pay a pretty penny to get me to see this crap fest. I hated the first Rob Zombie remake, and I will probably hate this one more. Basically it's the continuation from the first film in 2007. This one follows Michael Myers on his deadly pursuit of his sister Laurie Strode. Meanwhile Doctor Loomis still tries to bring Michael down to reality and make him stop his nonsense. (that last part was kind of a joke). Should be another gore fest aka bore fest. Way to trash a classic horror series!
The Final Destination: 3D - Rated R - 1 hour 22 minutes - Releases August 28th, 2009
Again, I am not going to see this probable piece of film sewage. I really enjoyed the first one, but the second one was pretty bad in my eyes. I never cared to see the third, and I will not ever see this one. It basically follows the same exact formula as the rest: a character has a premonition about a horrible tragedy then warns everyone to leave before it happens. He saves his friends lives, only to learn that they cheated death and now Death is on a vengeful tear to kill everyone who was supposed to die. This time they die is extremely ridiculous ways, blah blah blah. I'll pass!
Carriers - Rated PG-13 - Unknown running time - Releases September 4th, 2009
This one is about four young people who speed across the Southwestern U.S. in a desperate attempt to outrun a viral pandemic. Over the course of a few days, tough moral decisions will have to be made if they have any chance at survival. This is one of those doomed PG-13 rated horror flicks. Usually they cut out the gore and language and make for a not so "scary" horror movie. For me though, I don't mind. I feel like it gives more chance to focus on tension and story. However, I don't really know if I will see this one because we've seen this storyline many times before.
Sorority Row - Rated R - 1 hour 41 minutes - Releases September 11th, 2009
This one tells the tale of a group of sorority girls pledge to keep mum on the accidental death of one of their sisters; after graduation, however, they find themselves stalked by a serial killer who seems bent on eliminating anyone who knows their secret. This is another one I'll definitely pass on. It sounds way to much like the I Know What You Did Last Summer series...which was just OK.
Jennifer's Body - Rated R - 1 hour 42 minutes - Releases September 18th, 2009
Gee this looks awesome! It's about a cheerleader at a small Midwestern high school becomes possessed by a demon and sets out to kill off all the guys in town. I was kidding about the awesome part. This movie looks so dumb! For some reason it has a lot of hype, and I think it's mainly because it stars Megan Fox (Transformers series) and all the dudes just love to oogle at her...well...not this dude. I'm skippin' it!
Paranormal Activity - Not Rated at the moment - 1 hour 39 minutes - Tentative release date of September 25th, 2009
There are some rumors floating around online backed up by semi-credible sources that this film is finally getting a release date in 2009! It's been a movie 2 years in the making and is one of the most anticipated horror/ghost flicks in years! It was a movie shown at a horror film festival a few years back and it got RAVE reviews, some people calling it the scariest film ever made. Others said it is this generations The Exorcist. It's about a couple who start to experience strange happenings in their home and so they record the events and what they captured was edited into a 99 minute film. This is a paranormal ghost movie to the max. It is all done with the handheld/digital camera trick. A large movie studio loved this film and bought the rights to it and planned to completely remake it and release it. Now it's been said that they just plan to release the original one. We will see if it actually comes out next month. If it does...I am SO there!
Whiteout - Rated R - 1 hour 41 mintues - Releases September 25th, 2009
This is also a movie I am looking forward to! It's not really a paranormal movie, but it is a "dark" film about a killer on the loose. It's plot: At the McMurdo Station in Antarctica, U.S. Marshal Carrie Stetko (played by Kate Beckinsale) looks to identify and capture a killer before the sun sets for six months. I think it looks pretty interesting, and I love a good crime thriller! I don't know if it will be scary at all...but who knows!
Pandorum - Rated R - Unknown running time - Releases September 25th, 2009
This one falls into our genre of blogging...it's about space and I for one think it sounds kind of neat. Not all that original...but it's something I wouldn't mind seeing in theaters. It's about a pair of crew members aboard a spaceship who wake up with no knowledge of their mission or their identities. I saw the preview, and it looks like a movie that will probably end up being bad but come on it has Dennis Quaid and Ben Foster...it has to be kind of good right??
Zombieland - Rated R - Unknown running time - Releases October 2nd, 2009
OK, this is more of a comedy I know...but hey some people might get freaked out by it. It's a horror-comedy alright?? How can you wrong with Woody Harrelson? Even Bill Murray has a role in the movie! In a world overrun by zombies, a guy described as "the most frightened person on Earth" musters the courage to lead a band of refugees on a cross-country pilgrimage to an amusement park where they think they'll be safe. The preview looks funny! I want to see it! Yeah, it does kind of look like Shaun of the Dead...a lot...which was a great movie...but I don't care, this one still looks pretty cool.
The Stepfather - Rated PG-13 - Unknown running time - Releases October 16th, 2009
Storyline: Michael Harding returns from military school to find his mother living with her new boyfriend. As the two men get to know each other, Michael becomes suspicious of the man in his mother's life: Is he really the man of her dreams, or could David be hiding a dark side? OK first of all this movie sounds identical to a movie that came out earlier this year (The Uninvited...a movie I very much liked...to my surprise). Second of all I don't think it looks close to being as good as Uninvited. This movie looks a bit cheesy I have to say. I probably won't check this one out.
Saw VI - Rated R - Unknown running time - Releases October 23rd, 2009.
I cannot believe that there have been FIVE sequels since the first film!! That blows me away. I have not seen anything past the second one nor will I EVER! This series needs to die already. But I already know that Saw VII is in the works for next year (this is a fact, not sarcasm). These movies are just ridiculous! The first one was awesome...it needed to stop there. These are just torture porn movies now that I have no reason to exist. Here's the stupid plot if you care: Special Agent Strahm is dead, and Detective Hoffman has emerged as the unchallenged successor to Jigsaw's legacy. However, when the FBI draws closer to Hoffman, he is forced to set a game into motion, and Jigsaw's grand scheme is finally understood. Boo!
The Box - Rated PG-13 - 1 hour 55 minutes - Releases November 6th, 2009
For a movie that stars Cameron Diaz and James Marsden...this looks really cheeseball! I watched the preview a few weeks back and the production value looks borderline straight-to-dvd material. It is about a young couple is gifted with a mysterious box that promises them a handsome windfall with deadly consequences. There is a button inside, and once they press it someone on the planet will die (and they don't know who). I don't know...this movie could be somewhat OK, so I may check it out. I just have this feeling though that it's totally corny!
So that is a list of some upcoming freaky-ish flicks that will be coming out for the rest of the year. I'm sorry there are no pictures, there would just be to many for me to add on here...and I'm feeling a tad lazy. But each title is a link to the IMDB page for each film. Hope ya like the blog!
--Mike--
Free Agent at the End of the Season: Marco Scutaro
But this season, Scutaro was given the chance to play everyday at short for the Blue Jays and he's taken the opportunity and run with it. Scutaro has emerged as a tremendous shortstop and leadoff hitter and he's set new career highs (so far) in batting average, runs, OBP, walks, OPS, and more.
So what will Scutaro's big 2009 campaign mean for his potential free agent earnings? Let's take a look:
The Case for Scutaro
-He can hit
Scutaro's numbers this season don't lie; this guy can hit. A .293 batting average, .388 OBP, 11 homers, .818 OPS, and 89 runs scored is the recipe for a very effective leadoff hitter. I'm sure there are plenty of teams around baseball that would love to have that kind of production from their shortstop.
-Defense
According to fangraphs, Scutaro has been fantastic defensively this season at shortstop. His UZR/150 is an impressive 9.5 in large part because of his improved range (4.0 in '09). Scutaro is far from a liability as shortstop and can be counted on to play solid defense.
The Case against Scutaro
-Age
Even though Scutaro was one of 2009's breakout stars, it's important to remember that Scutaro has been around baseball for awhile and is going to be 34 years old when the 2010 season begins. By no means should Scutaro be considered a long term building block.
-Fluke?
The question has to be asked when evaluating Scuatro: was his 2009 season a fluke? There aren't too many players, who put up the best numbers of their career at 33 years old.
Competition
The crop of free agent shortstops this offseason is pretty weak. Unless your a huge fan of Orlando Cabrera or you really want to give Khalil Greene/Bobby Crosby another chance, then this group really comes down to Miguel Tejada and Scutaro. While Tejada will probably hit for a higher average with more doubles and HRs, Scutaro is younger (33), has a much better OBP, and has shown the ability to play some pretty solid defense. Who would you go with?
Prediction
(2 years/$10 million)
Here are some comparable contracts:
Kaz Masui (3 years/$15.5 million)
Mark Ellis (2 years/$11 million)
Akinori Iwamura (3 years/$7.7 million)
I think Scutaro's 2009 campaign has established him as a legitimate starting shortstop so obviously, he should receive a nice raise from the $1.1 million that he earned this year. However, I have a tough time believing that he would get anything more than a 2 year deal on the open market. When you combine his age (33) with the fact that the 2009 season was his only as a starter, I find it hard to think that a team would commit to him for more than 2 years.
Thoughts?
Free Agent Previews!
In the mean time, please check out the 2009 Free Agent Previews/Predictions that we have so far. Feel free to chime in with a comment as well.
Chone Figgins (4 years/$44 million)
Felipe Lopez (4 years/$30 million)
Jim Thome (1 year/$8.5 million)
Mark DeRosa (3 years/$24 million)
Miguel Tejada (2 years/$12 millIon)
Nick Johnson (3 years/$18 million)
Orlando Hudson (3 years/$20 million)
Russell Branyan (2 years/$15 million)
The Dried Roses
This is the last of the stories April told me. I am hoping to get with her soon to hear some more.
~~Julie~~
Hypothetically Speaking: Who would be the Highest Paid Player?
Scenario time: let's assume for a second that after the 2009 season, for whatever reason, every player currently on a major league roster would be granted free agency with no strings attached (no options, arbitration, service time, etc.). No matter what their contract status was after the 2009 season, all contracts have been abolished. This would create the most amazing spending spree in sports history, as every player would have the freedom to pick and choose where they want to go.
But here's where I'm looking for your input. Under this scenario, what player would become the highest paid player in the game?
-Would it be Joe Mauer, who has established himself as the best hitting catcher in baseball?
-Would it be Albert Pujols, who is one of the best hitters on the planet and almost a virtual lock every year for a .300+, 30 HR, 100+ RBI?
-Would it be Evan Longoria, who is on his way towards becoming the best third baseman in baseball even though he only reached the majors last season?
-Would it be Tim Lincecum, who despite his diminutive stature, is widely considered to be the premier pitcher in the National League?
-Would it be Hanley Ramirez, who has developed into the best hitter in baseball that nobody knows about (thanks, Florida)?
-There are many other viable options here that I have not mentioned: Miguel Cabrera, Felix Hernandez, Alex Rodriguez, etc.
My pick: Albert Pujols.
Pujols is my pick simply because he has been this good for so long. His consistency is off the charts. Even though I feel like Pujols has been around forever, he is only 29 years old, which means that he should have many great years ahead of him. I picked Pujols over Joe Mauer because I worry about Mauer wearing down because of the grind of catching every day. The risk of Mauer getting hurt or declining is much higher than it is with Pujols simply because of the position he plays. Don't get me wrong, Mauer is the total package behind the plate and he can do just about everything offensively and defensively, but I'd rather invest $140+ million bucks in the sure thing.
Who do you think would become the highest paid player? Feel free to throw in the contract that you think he would receive on the open market.
(Follow Jorge Says No! on Twitter)
Would the Athletics Ever Fire Billy Beane?
For years, Beane was thought of as the premier GM in baseball. He took a struggling, small market franchise and transformed them into a perennial powerhouse led by emerging young stars. Beane was a master at getting the most out of his limited payroll, in large part because of his "moneyball" approach, which valued OBP and power at the expense of stolen bases and defense.
In many ways, the Athletics decline over the past three years is somewhat expected. For a small market team like the Athletics, there is no way for the team to be able to keep all their young talent because at a certain point, all of these guys will become too expensive for the Athletics limited budget. The Athletics have lost so much premier talent simply because of the economics of baseball: Miguel Tejada, Jason Giambi, Barry Zito, Johnny Damon, Tim Hudson (traded), Mark Mulder (traded), Rich Harden (traded), Keith Foulke, Jermaine Dye, and more. No matter how brilliant Beane is, the odds of replacing all the talent is a very daunting task.
However, at what (if any) point would the Athletics consider firing Billy Beane? I know he's beloved by ownership and that he has done more with less than any GM on the planet, but there aren't too many GMs that can survive three consecutive losing seasons without even a whisper of being fired.
But in my opinion, Beane is one of them. For starters, when we talk about Athletics ownership, you have to remember that Beane owns a 4% stake in the team. Not a huge amount, but substantial. In addition, Beane is signed through 2014 as GM and I'm positive that the small market A's have no intention of relieving Beane of his duties anytime soon and paying him for multiple seasons.
And finally, to steal a line (sort of) from John McCain, the fundamentals of the Athletics are strong. Even though the major league team is struggling, the Athletics have a bundle of young and very talented players that are either impressing in the minors (Wallace, Weeks, Cardenas, etc.) or beginning to impact the major league team (Mazzaro, Anderson, Cahill, etc). In addition, Eric Chavez's horrific contract finally expires after next season, which will give the Athletics some payroll flexibility. You have to think that will all this talent on the horizon, the Athletics will get their act together in the next few seasons.
(Follow Jorge Says No! on Twitter)
RIP Ted Kennedy
"For me, a few hours ago, this campaign came to an end. For all those whose cares have been our concern, the work goes on, the cause endures, the hope still lives, and the dream shall never die."
-Ted Kennedy, 1980
(Follow Jorge Says No! on Twitter)
Coco Crisp: Will the Royals Pick Up his Option?
Despite missing a good chunk of the season with shoulder issues, Coco Crisp would like the Royals to pick up his $8 million dollar option for next season:
There's no guarantee that Crisp will return for a second season with the Royals. The club holds an $8 million option for 2010 with a $500,000 buyout.
"I have no control over that," Crisp said. "If it was my option, well then I'd probably exercise it and stay here. But it's not. Most of the big names, like Manny [Ramirez] and so forth, because they have proven themselves over the years -- Hall of Fame caliber -- have that. But I don't have that luxury."
The reality is that the Royals should not be investing $8 million bucks in a injured centerfielder, when they have no chance of competing in 2010. There is no way the Royals should pick up his option, especially after Crisp endured such a injury plagued season.
But with Dayton Moore at the helm, how can any Royals fan be confident that the right decision will be made?
As much as I want to believe that the Royals will make the logical choice and decline the option, in a sad way it would not shock me to see them pick up Coco's option.
Freaky Flicks Special: Those Creepy Little Bastards!
1. Cole Sear from The Sixth Sense
Age: 9
Freaky Level: 4 out of 10
Guilty Of: Just trying to be a kid and trying to fit in with other kids his age. But he is constantly pestered by those damn ghosts he can see that no one else can.
Defining Moment: Helping Malcolm realize who and what he really was.
Evilest Moment: Stealing those church figurines...how dare he! Hehe.
Creepiest Quote: "I see dead people..."
2. Alien children from Village of the Damned
Age: 12ish
Freaky Level: 8 out of 10
Guilty Of: Being alien demon children who brain wash the adults into killing themselves in horrific ways in some kind of plot to dominate the world. Oh yeah...they use their glowing orange eyes to peer into peoples minds. Their white hair does not make them cute in the least.
Defining Moment: When they were all "conceived" at the same time by a weird force that knocked the entire town out and impregnated all the women.
Evilest Moment: Forcing the poor old janitor to jump off the rooftop of the school and driving a broom stick through his chest and landing on the windshield of a car.
Creepiest Quote: "Emotion is irrelevant...it is not our nature."
3. Regan MacNeil from The Exorcist
Age: 11ish
Freaky Level: 10 out of 10
Guilty Of: Letting a demon take over her body and hurl awful obsenities at her elders.
Defining Moment: When the demon finally showed itself through her by cussing out her mother and throwing her across the room. She's probably the creepiest kid in the history of film!
Evilest Moment: When she "masturbated" with the cross and said "F**k me" over and over to the doctors. Or when she tried to get inside Father Karras' head by channeling his dead mother.
Creepiest Quote: "Your mother sucks c**k in hell Karras, you faithless slime" to me...that's just downright evil!
4. Carol Anne Freeling from Poltergeist
Age: 7ish
Freaky Level: 5 out of 10
Guilty Of: Watching way to much TV and sitting way to close to the set! Doesn't she know that can make you blind...AND sucked in by a demonic ghost! She caused so much chaos by having her parents freak out and having them hire ghost experts and mediums to help get her back from the "other side".
Defining Moment: When her mom used her as a prop to slide across the kitchen floor by some unseen force. How nonchalant she was about the whole thing was great. Just defined the kind of little girl she was...cute and innocent.
Evilest Moment: If being a cute, adorable little girl is considered evil...then I don't know what is good in this world!
Creepiest Quote: "They're heeeerrrreee." probably one of the creepiest quotes in horror movie history!
5. Henry Evans from The Good Son
Age: 12
Freaky Level: 9 out of 10
Guilty Of: Being a sadistic, evil, creepy and awful young man who gets thrills out of hurting and even killing animals and people. Killing his baby brother by drowning him. Trying to kill his younger sister by throwing her into thin ice. Trying to kill his own mother! And all the while acting all sweet and innocent while his cousin Mark seems like the crazy one! What a bastard!
Defining Moment: When Mark first realizes something is wrong with Henry. It's when Mark shoots and kills a dog with this home made bolt gun and gets a smile out of it.
Evilest moment: Hmm, maybe it's when he threw Mr. Highway off the bridge and caused a ten car pile up injuring several people. Or how about when he tries to push his own mother off of a cliff?
Creepiest Quote: When Mark slips and almost falls to his death on the treehouse, Henry catches him and says, "If I let you go, do you think you can fly?" and has the creepy smile. What a son of a bitch!
6. Tomas in The Orphanage (El Orfanato)
Age: Unknown
Freaky Level: 7 out of 10
Guilty Of: Messing with and haunting young Simon and leading him to dark places. Eventually preys on Simon's mother Laura.
Defining Moment: When he first made himself known by "communicating" with Simon in the cave on the beach and we assume he picked up all of Simon's "breadcrumbs" and left them nicely on the front door landing.
Creepiest Moment: When he "attacked" Laura in the hallway and in the bathroom. This is when we first "see" Tomas and he's wearing that very creepy sack over his head. He just stands there...and tilts his head a little. It was so freaky!
Creepiest Quote: He does not speak a line in the film.
7. The Grady Twins in The Shining
Age: 6 or 7
Freaky Level: 10 out of 10
Guilty Of: Haunting Danny in the hallways of the Overlook Hotel. Only have but two whole scenes in one of the greatest horror films ever made.
Defining Moment: When Danny turns the corner on his big wheel and they are standing there at the end of the hallway looking very creepy in their cute little dresses.
Evilest Moment: When they start talking to Danny in their little ghostly voices in the hallway scene or when we see brief flashes of their corpses later in the film.
Creepiest Quote: "Hello Danny, come play with us. Come play with us Danny, forever and ever...and ever." Shiver.
8. Samara Morgan from The Ring
Age: 8 or 9
Freaky Level: 8 out of 10
Guilty Of: Having one hell of an awful mother. Her mom smothered her and threw her down a well where she eventually died 7 days later after scratching at the walls. Now she leaves a ghostly life of torment, killing people, 7 days after they watch this mysterious tape. She makes people look downright nasty when she kills them! Just look at their faces!
Defining Moment: When we learn of her life through Rachel's investigation and we see how she was killed and for a moment...we feel for her.
Evilest Moment: When we see her crawl out of that well for the first time and then crawl out of the TV...that was some spooky crap! Not to mention her slew of kills! That is one vengeful bitch!
Creepiest Quote: "Seven days...." over the phone with that creepy whisper.
9. Danny Lloyd from The Shining
Age: 5 or 6
Freaky Level: 5 out of 10
Guilty Of: Having some kind of connection to the "other side" and can see visions and images of the people or things that lurk in the Overlook Hotel. His father eventually goes insane and tries to kill Danny.
Defining Moment: When we first learn of Danny's abilities when he is talking with Mr. Hallorann who also shares some of the same abilities. When we first hear his creepy voice and his finger puppet.
Evilest Moment: Easy. When he walks around chanting "Redrum" in that freaky raspy voice and carves it into the door. Later to reveal "Redrum" is "Murder" backwards.
Creepiest Quote: "Redrum! Redrum! REDRUM!"
10. Voices of "Billy" and "The Princess" and the demon "Simon" from Session 9
Age: Unknown
Freaky Level: 9 out of 10
Guilty Of: Technically these aren't kids we ever see. And the voices are actually coming from an adult who has multiple personalities. But the personalities are of children and the voices sounds like kids. So they are guilty of channeling themselves through this woman in a very creepy way and freaking me the hell out!
Defining Moment: When we first learn of Mary's past through these kiddy voices, explaining how Mary stabbed her brother to death with a very large knife.
Evilest Moment: When they are explaining the murder of Mary's brother. Also when Simon takes over (his voice is more masculine though, not so much a kid).
Creepiest Quote: "Because Mary let me in doc. They always do...they always do."
Well that is my personal top ten. Keep in mind I have actually never seen the original "Omen" nor have I seen movies like "Hide and Seek", "Birth", "Orpah" who all have creepy kids in them.
--Mike--
Free Agent at the End of the Season: Miguel Tejada
But make no mistake about it: even though Miguel Tejada is not the player he once was, he's still an asset. Tejada has transformed himself into a shortstop, who's game centers around his ability to play everyday, hit for a high average, and hit lots of doubles.
What's that combination worth on the open market? Let's take a look:
The Case for Tejada
-He can still hit
Once you get past the idea that Tejada can no longer hit for power, what you see is a hitter, who can still be very productive. His .309 batting average ranks 12th in the NL, he's 2nd in the NL in doubles, and his 154 hits ranks 2nd in the National league. In addition, Tejada hits well against both lefties (.292) and righties (.314). The bottom line is simple: Tejada is still an asset at the dish.
-Everyday Miggy
Since 1999, Miguel Tejada has played in at least 158 games in every season with the exception of 2007. That consistency is remarkable. And this season, Tejada has played in 122 of the Astros' 124 games, which is a very impressive feat when you consider that Tejada is 35 years old. At some point, the wear and tear will take its full effect on Tejada, but for now, the idea that Tejada will be in the lineup everyday has to be reassuring for prospective suitors.
The Case against Tejada
-defense
According to fangraphs, Tejada's UZR/150 this season is an abyssal -9.8. Why has Tejada's defense been so bad this season? Fangraphs also notes that Tejada's range has massively declined this season to the tune of a -10.3 ranking, which is a huge drop from last season. Can a contending team survive with Miguel Tejada playing shortstop? Debatable. Could it finally be time to move Tejada away from shortstop???
-power
The most telling sign that Tejada's power is evaporating lies directly in the stats. Tejada only has 10 home runs in 2009, even though he's playing in one of the most hitter friendly stadiums for a right handed power hitter. Any team that decides to go after Tejada needs to avoid paying him like he's a middle of the order power hitter that he once was and gauge his value on the open market accordingly.
Competition
The free agent class of shortstops is a weak group. Aside from Tejada, the only other free agent shortstop, who could make noise on the open market is Marco Scutaro. True, Scutaro is younger than Tejada and is having a career year in 2009, but the advantage to signing Tejada is that he has a consistent track record of production and success. Who would you prefer?
Prediction
(2 years/$12 million)
Here are some comparable contracts:
Edgar Renteria (2 years/$18 million)
Orlando Cabrera (1 year/$4 million)
Alex Gonzalez (3 years/$14 million)
Julio Lugo (4 years/$36 million)
There is a very realistic possibility that Tejada will only get a one year pact on the open market, especially if the market plays out like it did last year. However, he is still a productive player and I feel that in the right setting, Tejada could be a very valuable piece to have around. While I would be hesitant to give a multi-year contract to a player over 35, Tejada has shown plenty of life over the past two years to make me at least think about it. In the end, I think Tejada will get something along the lines of a one year deal with a option or a two year contract, simply because he still brings a lot to the table.
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Adrian Beltre is Ballsy
Adrian Beltre doesn't have a solid answer for the question everyone wants answered: Will he wear a cup in the future?....cringing...."I might be lying if I said [I would]," the Seattle Mariners third baseman said on Monday. "I tried it before, it's uncomfortable, I hate it and if it happens every 11 years of my career I'll probably take my chances."
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Johan Santana: Uh Oh
"He has not been throwing between starts for quite awhile. I would say since before the All-Star break. He has been pitching with this problem, but not with the level of discomfort he has now," New York manager Jerry Manuel said Monday after his team's 6-2 loss to Philadelphia.For the life of me, I'll never understand why/how the Mets let Johan Santana continue to go out there every fifth day even though the season was lost and Santana clearly wasn't 100% right. Where's the logic in that? Yeah, I know, if Johan Santana is 50% of himself on the mound then he's still better than most of the pitchers the Mets have right now. But what are we playing for here? Nothing in 2009, that's for sure."I'm terribly concerned," Manuel told Newsday. "No question about it."
Francoeur told MLB.com that he spoke with Santana about the likelihood of surgery. He told the Web site Santana "can get it looked at now and be two months ahead by Spring Training," indicating a need for surgery in the immediate future.
Mike Pelfrey, Santana's fellow starter, added, "I don't think anyone expects good news.
Santana is the most important player that the Mets have and the player, who the Mets have invested the most money in. At the first sign that Santana's body was breaking down, the Mets should have played it very safe with Santana in the hopes of protecting their investment and the team's future. The fact that Santana is hurt this late into a hopeless season tells me that the Mets did not do a good job protecting their asset.
Santana is known as a gamer and a very prideful guy, who takes pride in his pitching ability. On one hand, it's admirable that he kept competing during a lost season when the Mets playing so poorly and were so far out of the race. But on the other hand, as a fan, you have to hope that Johan can recognize that when something is obviously not right with his health, that he has to tone it down or else he could be risking injury. But once those competitive juices get flowing, you never know, I guess.
With all that said, the panic level is rising in Mets land. With all the injuries this season, you can make a strong case that the panic level was code orange. But if the Mets lose Johan Santana for a extended period of time, the terror level will be a painfully high code red.
Say your prayers for good news, Met fans. I sure as hell will.
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The Race for Bryce Harper, Week 2
-The Royals stink. But right now, amazingly, they don't stink ENOUGH. The Royals went 1-5 last week, but did not gain ANY GROUND on the Nationals in the race for Bryce. The Royals have been horrible this season, but if they are going to land Harper, then they have to continue losing and hope that the far more talented Nationals pull together another winning streak or two. If there is a team that needs Harper right now, it's the Royals.
3. Baltimore Orioles, 7 GB
-The dream of Bryce Harper joining forces with Matt Wieters, Brian Matusz, Chris Tillman, Adam Jones, and all the Orioles young talent became far less realistic this week. The Orioles went 3-4 last week, which means that they actually lost 1.5 in the standings for Bryce Harper.
However, the Orioles still have 6 games left with the Yankees, 5 games left with the Red Sox, and 8 games left with the Rays so maybe, just maybe, the Orioles aren't out of the Harper sweepstakes just yet.
4. San Diego Padres, 7 GB
-Like the Orioles, the Padres lost 1.5 games in the Harper standings this week. If the Padres want any chance at landing Harper, it's imperative that their pitching come down to the level of their hitting, which is by far the worst in the league. Even though the Padres offense has been anemic, they can still grind out some games if their pitching continues to perform adequately. This team needs a total meltdown if they are going to land Harper.
5. Pittsburgh Pirates, 8 GB
-Last week, the Pirates seemed to be the dark horse in the Bryce Harper derby. The Buccos were only 4 GB of the Nationals and after GM Neal Huntington purged the roster, they seemed to have a decent chance of playing horrific baseball down the stretch and putting themselves into position for the #1 overall pick.
But during this past week, a funny thing happened: the Pirates started winning games! The team went 5-1 this past week, which is great for Pirates fans hoping that their team avoids losing 100 games this season, but terrible for the franchise as a whole. The Pirates are now slipping out of the Harper derby and will need to lose at a torrid pace down the stretch if they are to make a serious run at Harper.
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Fun With Performance Incentives (Part I)
One of the projects that I've been working on for some time now is ranking the performance clauses in current baseball contracts. In most big money contracts, teams insert certain performance clauses that reward the player for achieving a certain goal or statistic.
I've always been interested in performance bonuses for some strange reason. I've always been fascinated to know who makes the most for winning a award and how teams structure their performance bonus system. And because of the amazing Cot's Baseball Contracts, these numbers were right at my fingertips, just waiting to be organized and sorted.
My plan moving forward is to have two installments of the performance incentive rankings. The first one will consist of seven awards and any other nuggets and oddities that I fit in. Enjoy....this should make some good banter in the comments.
(Note: All the contracts and player bonuses listed are current and valid in the 2009 season. In addition, all contract information is from Cot's Baseball Contracts)
1. What player earns the most money for winning a gold glove?
Answer: Lots. By my unofficial count, there are 15 guys out there that earn exactly $100,000 for winning a gold glove. Here is my unofficial list:
Magglio Ordonez, Mike Lowell, JD Drew, Ryan Howard, Johan Santana, Carlos Beltran, Grady Sizemore, Benjie Molina, Eric Chavez, Mark Ellis, Torii Hunter, Bobby Abreu, Vladimir Guerrero, Gary Mathews Jr., and my personal favorite Russ Springer are all members of the $100,000 gold glove club.2. What player earns the most money for winning a silver slugger?
Answer: Once again, lots. By my unofficial count, there are 16 hitters out there that earn exactly $100,000 for winning a silver slugger. Here is my unofficial list:
Vladimir Guerrero, Torii Hunter, Bobby Abreu, Gary Matthews Jr, Mark Ellis, Jack Cust, Eric Chavez, Nomar Garciaparra, Orlando Cabrera, Kosuke Fukudome, Grady Sizemore, Carlos Beltran, Ryan Howard, David Ortiz, Mike Lowell, JD Drew, Magglio OrdonezOh yeah, there are two pitchers, who earn $100,000 for winning a silver slugger:
-The Mets Johan Santana
-And ANOTHER personal favorite, the Rangers (at the time) Vincente Padilla.......WHAT!?
3. What player earns the most money for making the all-star game?
Answer: Blue Jays SP Roy Halladay
Yes, the Blue Jays ace earns a cool $125,000 every time he's named to the all-star team.
4. What player earns the most money for receiving the most all-star votes?
Answer: Cubs OF Alfonso Soriano
Can you believe it? If Soriano is receives the most votes for the all-star game, then he's due for a ridiculous $250,000. That's a lot of dough just for winning a popularity contest.
In case you were wondering, there are three other players, who have such a clause in their contracts. Carlos Beltran and Vernon Wells would each earn $100,000 for receiving the most votes, while the Mariners Adrian Beltre (and his injured testicle) would have earned $75,000.
5. What player would earn the most money for winning the MVP?
Answer: Lots. Here is my unofficial list:
Astros 1B Lance Berkman, Tigers OF Magglio Ordonez, Angels OF's Torii Hunter, Vladimir Guerrero, Bobby Abreu, Gary Matthews Jr, Cubs OF Milton Bradley, Red Sox SP Daisuke Matsuzaka, and Mets OF Carlos BeltranAll of the following players would earn $500,000 for winning the MVP in their respective league.
But here is my favorite nugget with regards to MVP bonuses: if Jeff Suppan or Barry Zito won the MVP, they would each receive $250,000, but if/when Albert Pujols wins the MVP, he would only receive $200,000.
6. What player would receive the most money for winning the CY Young?
Answer: Mets SP Johan Santana (sort of.)
What do I mean by sort of? Well according to Cot's, Johan Santana would earn "$0.5M-$1.5M for Cy Young, but the number varies based on number won"
And check out this list of players, who would all receive $500,000 for winning a CY Young award:
-Dontrelle Willis
-Nate Robertson
-Vincente Padilla
-Jeff Suppan
-Barry Zito
I can't make this stuff up. That's quite a group of busts.
7. What player would receive the most money for winning comeback player of the year?
Answer: Rangers OF Andruw Jones
Coming off a terrible 2008 season, it's no surprise to see that Jones had this clause inserted into his contract. If Jones does indeed win the award, he will earn $200,000.
In addition, both Pedro Martinez and Nomar Garciaparra would earn $100,000 if either was to win the award this season.
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Fiji Mermaid
In 1842, Moses Kimball brought the creature to P.T. Barnum’s attention. They formed a written agreement that Barnum would advertise it as a mermaid with Kimball getting $12.50 a week and remain owner of the creature. Barnum called his creature “The Feejee Mermaid” and told all that the mermaid was caught by a Dr. J. Griffin. There were stories of another mermaid called the “Banff Merman”, which was on display at the Indian Trading Post. P.T. Barnum claimed that it was a torso of a monkey sewn to a back half of a fish and had many people believing him.
For several centuries, mermaids have been a part of entertainment shows. It wasn’t until P.T. Barnum’s exhibit of the Fiji mermaid, they became popular with many others putting them in their attractions, even Robert Ripley. Barnum took his little creature all over the United States until the 1860’s when a fire destroyed his museum and his attraction was lost. The exhibit is now housed in the attic of the Harvard University’s Peabody Museum of Archaeology and Ethnology.
There have been many claims that P.T. Barnum’s Fiji mermaid was fake with many shows and documentaries trying to prove it so. Whatever the claims are, many believe that Barnum had a mummified body of a real mermaid.
The Fiji mermaid lives on today. It was featured in an episode of The X-files, made into a game by Wizkids and in Rob Zombie’s “House of 1000 Corpses”, one of the characters is killed and turned into the Fiji mermaid through taxidermy.
Tombstone’s Merman
This one I have seen with my own eyes and have the picture to prove it. This creepy looking mummified creature is in a glass box, near the entrance of the Bird Cage Theatre’s display room. Many wonder how a mermaid would be found in the desert, so far from a body of water. The best explanation is that sometime in 1934 someone donated it to the Bird Cage Theatre’s tiny little museum. Whatever it is and however it got there, it is a weird little artifact.
~~Julie~~
Random Afternoon Video: Do the El Duque!
For any Yankee fan in 1998, this commercial was THE BEST.
Plus, there's a cameo from Luis Sojo. What's not to love?
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